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Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Choose With Severino on the Hill

Second time in less than a week, American League Pennant, New York Yankees and Houston Astros fight. After splitting the four game sets in Bronx last weekend, the Yankees will visit Space City for one night to play make-up games from April 4th.

The bomber is on the go, but behind Luis Severino-125’s favorite, the Yankees have become one of the rare games of the season at a fairly affordable price. In fact, if this line is maintained, Yank will be below -130 for the 12th time this season. The 56-20 start of the season does it to the team’s price on the market.


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Luis Severino
Luis Severino
Getty Images

Yankees vs Astros Preview and Prediction

Severino is an important part of New York’s success this season, from the question mark after the injury upset his 2020 and 2021 campaigns to a credible part of the league’s best pitching staff at 3.38 ERA in 72 innings. became. Even better news for Pinstripes is that Severino’s underlying indicators suggest that the pitch is actually better than his impressive ERA suggests. Severino has 2.67x ERA and 3.25x FIP, so some positive regressions may come to 28 year olds.

Severino is clearly the A side of the pitching matchup on Thursday night, but his counterpart Luis Garcia is working on a fairly similar season. The 25-year-old pitches to 3.68 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 71 innings, and like Severino, his peripheral numbers support his baseball card numbers when sporting 3.64 x ERA and 3.70 x FIP.

Garcia’s 1.52 HR / 9 may look like a clear red flag against the Yankees lineup, which just set a record for June home runs, but Garcia only allowed seven home runs in his last 49.1 innings. That statistic needs some context because it hasn’t, and when he surrendered three longballs in 4.1 innings, work and those three dinger came during one unusual start against the Marlins. I did.

Garcia is having a hard time avoiding hard contacts, even if his HR / 9 is a little bulging due to some bad starts.according to StatCastVenezuela is from Bolivar and is ranked 36th percentile in average exit speed, 38th percentile in barrel rate and 54th percentile in hard hit rate.

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No matter how you shake it, the Yankees and Astros are the best teams in the American League, so it’s no wonder bookmakers are having a hard time separating these two clubs on Thursday night. But Severino was on the mound and in good shape — he posted 2.91 ERA, 3.08 xFIP, 11.63 K / 9 in the last seven outings — the Yankees offer some value as a slight favorite. ..

Yankees vs Astros Pick

Yankees-125 (BetMGM).

Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Choose With Severino on the Hill

Source link Yankees vs Astros Prediction, Choose With Severino on the Hill

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