VSIN’s NFL experts offer a selection of Sunday division round matchups.
Kansas City Chiefs Buffalo Bills (-1.5, 53.5)
We’ve actually seen this line go down based on some building money, and it’s hard to dispute given how dominant the metrics and defenses during their season were. is. Josh Allen’s play is up a few more times now that he’s back to using his feet.
When these two teams first met, the story was all about Patrick Mahomes and his sales issues, but Bills also won 8.1 yards per play in some really explosive play. did. The Chiefs’ defense scored points this season with 37.3% of their opponent’s possessions, while Bills led the league with only 28%. Buffalo’s schedule was certainly weak, but Buffalo was 0.4 yards better per play than any other defense in the league.
Both teams are peaking at the right time. This game will probably result in the team that has the ball at the end, or some special team that fails. Buffalo is a more efficient red zone team in terms of attack and defense, doing a better job of getting pressure, doing a better third down defense, and demonstrating the much stronger performance given to their opponents last week. Did.
Choose: Bill, + 1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Los Angeles Rams (-2.5, 47.5)
The aggressive line injury is a big story for the Matinee Buccaneers on Sunday against Rams. Ryan Jensen and Tristan Wilfs are big pieces of the puzzle, even if they don’t face Von Miller and Aaron Donald, but these guys are even more important given the Rams staff.
Tom Brady needs to regain Leonard Fournette, and his additions to the lineup will be huge, especially if Brady is prominent in the defense of Los Angeles and is more coerced than usual. The Fournette becomes the focus and is enough to increase the single coverage of the wide receiver or Rob Gronkowski.
The burning question for the Rams attack is Matthew Stafford. He played well against Arizona in the Wild Card Round, but wasn’t asked to do much because he only tried 17 passes in a game controlled by Rams. But even later in the season, Sean McVay chose to increase Sony Michel’s carry. Perhaps it was related to a lack of confidence in Stafford, but the game plan seems to feature more lampad mixes than we saw during the season.
Does the ball control style work for the Buccaneers who are very skilled in doing it themselves? Will the game end with a lot of long drives and a coin toss based on a successful team in more red zones? That’s my guess, and that type of game favors the Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay was the second NFL in touchdown efficiency in the Red Zone. Rams was in 15th place. Odell Beckham Jr. helped the cause and most of his touchdown catches were within 10, but the Buccaneers were in the top 10 red zone defense. As with Rams, Tampa Bay’s additional aggressive success may upset the game’s balance.
Lines are very important here. If you find 2.5, don’t settle for Tampa Bay-3. Similarly, do not take Rams at a bad moneyline price, or at 2.5 when 3 is there.
Choose: Buccaneers, -2.5
How to bet on Sunday’s NFL Division Round Matchup
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