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Experts warn of vigilance as the peak of Covid-19 appears to be approaching | Omicron Variant

In February 2021, Dr. Craig Spencer wrote in the media Position He said, “I was watching the end of this pandemic more than anyone else. Thankfully, it may be visible.”

“Covid cases and hospitalizations are declining,” writes Spencer, director of global health in emergency care at the New York Presbyterian / Columbia University Medical Center. “Vaccines are becoming more widespread. So what’s next?”

Next was, of course, more Covid-19.

So, almost a year later, Spencer is encouraged by the fact that the increase in new Covid cases is slowing in some parts of the country, but he is humbled by the previous wave and begins the end. Not ready to celebrate. Of a pandemic.

“It’s not like getting to the top of Everest, having a small party, then starting the climb and removing the oxygen mask,” Spencer said. “There is still a risk when we start the descent. I think it’s important that we all remain vigilant and aware of it.”

In the United States last month, Covid’s hospitalization and case records were broken due to its high contagiousness. Omicron variantIn the northeast, daily new Covid cases are declining or increasing at a slower rate, prompting the prediction that the worst pandemic will soon end.

But infectious disease experts say it’s premature because of how unpredictable the virus was and the fact that it’s still overwhelming the proliferation of some hospitals in the country. ..

“Yes, especially in places like New York City, Omicron has peaked, but I think we need to be very careful not to confuse peak with low,” said an epidemiologist at New York University’s infectious disease specialist. Said Dr. Celine Gounder. “That is, people who live their daily lives on the go should be careful to continue to use mitigation measures such as wearing high quality masks and doing it outdoors as much as possible.”

In the northeast, the number of new cases every day began to decline last week. data from New York Times, However, cases continue to surge elsewhere. For example, in 10 states, cases have increased by more than 300% in the last two weeks.

In the United States, the number of cases increased by 133% and hospitalizations by Covid increased by 79% during that period.

“I think it’s very likely that we’re at the peak. Indeed, I think it’s in line with many modeling results in terms of when we predicted the peak from mid-January to late January. I will be cautious as the consistent downward trend continues and is reflected in hospitalization, “said Justin Wrestler, a professor of epidemiology at the university. North Carolina..

Despite the slowdown in the surge, Spencer said he was “as chaotic as his colleagues in the city” when he made a shift in the emergency room at Columbia University in New York earlier this week.

This is because the emergency room was full of very sick patients, in addition to people coming for heart attacks, appendicitis and other illnesses. Said Spencer.

There are quite a few providers who can’t work because they tested positive for Covid.

“Emergency rooms are always adaptable, but the issues we are currently addressing are not only increasing patient numbers and Covids, but also fewer healthcare providers and locations. [patients]”Spencer said.

In Oklahoma, an increase of 363% has overwhelmed hospitals in the last two weeks. Three hospital systems reported that beds in the intensive care unit were unavailable. according to To KFOR-TV.

At OU Health in Oklahoma City, the proliferation of Covid cases poses challenges not only to providers treating viral patients, but also to non-Covid patients. This is because hospitals need to take additional steps to protect patients from the virus. Chief Covid Officer.

He said some 250 staff were unable to work because they were quarantined because of the virus.

Bratzler hopes the state will reach the peak of Omicron next week, but more than any other state, as only 54% of the population is fully vaccinated, compared to 73% in New York. I am concerned that the decline may be slow.

“I’m worried that hospitalizations will increase significantly in the coming weeks. I’m already obsessed with our system and unvaccinated people are driving hospitalizations. I’m very worried about that, “Bratzler said.

Still, OU epidemiologist Aaron Wendelboe said, “I’m a little encouraged by what’s happening in other states.”

But like other epidemiologists, Wendelbow said he wasn’t ready to declare that the virus continued to mutate and wouldn’t see another surge like Omicron.

“I feel like learning is slow. I couldn’t immediately predict such a big surge, but Covid continues to surprise us,” he said.

Experts warn of vigilance as the peak of Covid-19 appears to be approaching | Omicron Variant

Source link Experts warn of vigilance as the peak of Covid-19 appears to be approaching | Omicron Variant

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