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Betters can find value in the Gervonta Davis-Rolando Romero match

WBA lightweight champion Gervonta Davis (26-0, 24 KO) will put his title on the line on Saturday night against undefeated Rolando Romero (14-0, 12 KO). Odds makers have made Davis a favorite of -1000, but bettors can get Romero at +600 and 20/1 in a draw-ending battle.

Davis is so popular that bettors need to find other ways to benefit from this battle, such as how to win, total rounds, and rounds where the battle ends. However, keep in mind that the line is moving towards the Challenger. Davis was as high as -1400 at the beginning of the week before Romero got money to shorten the odds to -1000.

Neither boxer likes to direct his fight to the scorecard. Davis stopped 24 of his 26 opponents and Romero won 12 of his 14 career matches in the knockout. Davis’s 93% knockout rate is one of the best in boxing history for anyone who has fought more than 20 times, but he has made a slumping decision to beat Isaac Cruz on his last expedition.

Rolando Romero in a lightweight title match against Gervonta Davis at Barclays Center on Friday.
Getty Images

Davis is facing a trial on suspicion of hit-and-run and has shown it to Cruz. He seemed lethargic throughout the match and made the first full 12 rounds of his career (115-113, 115-113, 116-112) before winning a surprisingly close decision. After the fight, Davis claimed to hurt his hand in Round 6, which is why he couldn’t be any more aggressive.

Romero is undefeated, but this will be his toughest test to date. He was scheduled to meet Davis last year, but Romero was working on his own legal issues. He had to pull out and was eventually replaced by Cruz. Like Davis, Romero made only one 12 rounds in his career: in August 2020, Jackson Marines won the unanimous decision.


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As you can imagine, oddsmakers don’t expect this fight to reach the judges’ scorecards. The odds are -550 and the match is not far away. Davis is -330 to win at the stop. Davis finished 16 of his 24 opponents in the first three rounds, but the last four battles are more than the sixth.

Romero is a skilled boxer, but he is still young and inexperienced. That would be a problem for aggressive fighters like Davis. Another variable in favor of Davis’ finish on Saturday night is that this will be his last fight under the Mayweather Promotions. This means he aims to sign a new big money deal in the near future.


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These two fighters don’t like each other, and Davis sounds motivated to finish Romero early. I understand that money comes into Romero. He’s a much more talented boxer than the odds suggest, but Romero is still defensively raw, which can be devastating to a skilled puncher like Davis.

Davis to win the knockout is an obvious bet here, but you have to put -330. Instead, I win round 1-6 +130 (FanDuel) with Davis. I hope Davis will get hot and finish Romero before the fight goes into a later round.

However, if that doesn’t happen, it may make sense to help Romero on the live line. Davis can use a lot of energy to get things done early, and if this fight goes beyond six rounds, it could give Romero an edge.

Betters can find value in the Gervonta Davis-Rolando Romero match

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